Market · 12 of 22 outcomes
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 57 | 96.8¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 2,097 | 4.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 2 | 89.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 1,531 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,230 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,132 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.