Market · 11 of 22 outcomes
Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 57 | 99.8¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| cashx10000xe72d…6424 | No | 37 | 99.6¢ | $37 | — |
| 0xf0f8…fcf6 | No | 9 | 98.9¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 322 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3,937 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 1,529 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,280 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.