Market · 11 of 22 outcomes
Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 57 | 99.8¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
| cashx10000xe72d…6424 | No | 37 | 99.6¢ | $37 | — |
| 0xf0f8…fcf6 | No | 9 | 98.9¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 322 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3,937 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 1,529 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,280 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 981 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,946 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 730 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 415 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 50cents0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | 379 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 354 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 344 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0x995f…414d | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 331 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,195 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 326 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x28a1…d7ec | Yes | 290 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 241 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| Dr.Sharif0x4fad…ef43 | Yes | 195 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Uffblya0x2a8b…4b22 | Yes | 190 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 162 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| lorenzcurve0x1c13…c371 | Yes | 151 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x16c7…22cd | Yes | 114 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 108 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 95 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 90 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 84 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| asfdt110x7e4c…1cf9 | Yes | 80 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 71 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 60 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 59 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 50 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 46 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 40 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 37 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 19 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 15 | 48.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 15 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| kakaoo0x6b52…e0a0 | Yes | 14 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf2eb…6eb5 | Yes | 13 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| acc320x3a30…99ec | Yes | 13 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 12 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 10 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.