Market · 3 of 22 outcomes
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 1,576 | 97.8¢ | $1.56K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 874 | 71.5¢ | $863 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cmarx0x1733…9411 | No | 391 | 94.2¢ | $386 | Break-even−$0.75 per $100 · 149 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 280 | 66.0¢ | $277 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | No | 181 | 60.1¢ | $179 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 157 | 89.2¢ | $155 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 25 shares each side · Show
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