Market · 3 of 22 outcomes
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 1,576 | 97.8¢ | $1.56K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 874 | 71.5¢ | $863 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cmarx0x1733…9411 | No | 391 | 94.2¢ | $386 | Break-even−$0.75 per $100 · 149 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 280 | 66.0¢ | $277 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | No | 181 | 60.1¢ | $179 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 157 | 89.2¢ | $155 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 144 | 68.1¢ | $142 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| strawberrypig0xff92…d07c | No | 122 | 80.9¢ | $120 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 121 | 89.2¢ | $119 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 108 | 93.6¢ | $107 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| iamhereeveryday0xbbe1…a7ec | No | 100 | 98.6¢ | $99 | — |
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 100 | 83.0¢ | $99 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,124 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 4,411 | 1.2¢ | $55 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| fatfattesttaker0x53d7…dae3 | No | 52 | 74.8¢ | $51 | — |
| lineth0x2c41…133e | No | 35 | 63.0¢ | $35 | Proven+$15.49 per $100 · 924 bets |
| 0xe004…7849 | No | 24 | 69.0¢ | $24 | — |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | No | 22 | 56.0¢ | $22 | Proven+$11.02 per $100 · 220 bets |
| banestow0x3080…337b | No | 20 | 53.5¢ | $20 | Losing−$20.78 per $100 · 492 bets |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 19 | 75.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,340 | 2.7¢ | $17 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 1,323 | 1.3¢ | $17 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,199 | 9.7¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,066 | 1.8¢ | $13 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Pbankster0x56cb…9550 | Yes | 1,062 | 54.1¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xfac0…fdd8 | No | 13 | 75.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 903 | 33.0¢ | $11 | — |
| apma-prdct0xe751…5a2a | No | 11 | 72.8¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x35d7…026f | Yes | 806 | 29.6¢ | $10 | — |
| cptjudge0xbec3…760e | No | 8 | 61.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x7b82…8d9f | No | 8 | 98.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 600 | 32.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x225b…422a | Yes | 598 | 2.5¢ | $7 | Proven+$9.78 per $100 · 302 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 520 | 36.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 354 | 1.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xfcba…2398 | No | 4 | 76.0¢ | $4 | — |
| sb8963450x77b8…e849 | No | 4 | 62.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 316 | 20.1¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| Edo-0x8fb6…48e5 | No | 4 | 77.0¢ | $4 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 300 | 25.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 299 | 3.6¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| AlfredTheShiller0xcd6b…68f5 | Yes | 261 | 21.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$5.96 per $100 · 1,413 bets |
| KARACAC0xbb50…7bfc | No | 3 | 71.0¢ | $3 | — |
| deepfuckingvalue0xd1c1…e319 | Yes | 255 | 52.0¢ | $3 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 222 | 23.9¢ | $3 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| 0xe63e…3204 | Yes | 217 | 30.8¢ | $3 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | No | 3 | 63.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| Dice.Dominator0x809c…e287 | Yes | 200 | 25.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Fuadkrm70x77d5…eace | Yes | 199 | 6.5¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 179 | 2.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 2 | 49.2¢ | $2 | — |
| magicdogs0x6c4a…bdf8 | Yes | 160 | 1.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 2 | 98.8¢ | $2 | — |
| lorenzcurve0x1c13…c371 | Yes | 151 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| kenpaxtonpatriot0x4abc…52ca | Yes | 108 | 37.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd823…12fe | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | — |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | Yes | 100 | 54.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.30 per $100 · 956 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 91 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9baa…3f2b | Yes | 81 | 53.6¢ | $1 | — |
| ValerieGraham99080x169a…55e4 | No | 1 | 80.0¢ | $1 | — |
| BrittanyScott74250x26ad…990e | No | 1 | 81.0¢ | $1 | — |
| DebraLee58120x31a8…1f07 | No | 1 | 84.0¢ | $1 | — |
| TammyHenderson12010x90ec…62aa | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | 1 | 70.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 1 | 72.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0xcec4…9258 | No | 1 | 66.0¢ | $1 | — |
| YvetteRichardson78020xc94a…ac22 | Yes | 69 | 26.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 64 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x16c7…22cd | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 55 | 4.4¢ | $1 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 1 | 68.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 52 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 50 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| da-krachler0x253c…d353 | Yes | 38 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 36 | 36.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.03 per $100 · 15,917 bets |
| alertpilot1230xb10a…5b24 | No | 0 | 68.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Noonoo1230x2f52…9fba | Yes | 32 | 48.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DorothyMejia91390x4fa5…2380 | Yes | 29 | 39.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jwd1031030xfa7e…f37e | Yes | 25 | 30.8¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | No | 0 | 76.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 333tdd0x72ab…1a3e | No | 0 | 73.6¢ | $0 | — |
| LisaAllen46300xc7e4…b332 | Yes | 21 | 33.0¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 18 | 41.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| ObscuraNull0xa53d…4952 | Yes | 18 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TrevorPadilla65090x90e2…7bab | Yes | 18 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| imcultured0x1c55…8ade | Yes | 17 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0306…a81e | No | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 0 | 64.3¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 25 shares each side · Show
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