Market · 12 of 22 outcomes
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 57 | 96.8¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 2,097 | 4.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 2 | 89.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 1,531 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,230 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,132 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,946 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 1,020 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| lizlocks0x8b1c…1ec7 | No | 1 | 85.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Xyzeric0xe5f5…9c9c | No | 1 | 86.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Harvinchristophergalit0xccd5…1d94 | No | 1 | 87.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 662 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Web3Wizardz0x3b66…26c9 | Yes | 605 | 12.4¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 534 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 439 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| sleepymonkey0xce4d…d0e2 | Yes | 410 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | 395 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 393 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,195 bets |
| littlebird0x202b…971a | Yes | 360 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 354 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 297 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 248 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 222 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 175 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 163 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| lorenzcurve0x1c13…c371 | Yes | 151 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x16c7…22cd | Yes | 116 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 95 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 95 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 95 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 90 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 88 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 85 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 77 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 59 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 56 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 45 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 37 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 37 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| Raketa090x1790…6fd2 | Yes | 33 | 11.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 26 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 24 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| largedutch0xf89c…186e | Yes | 20 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| a5tthsyuo3c0x841c…b20d | Yes | 17 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 17 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf2eb…6eb5 | Yes | 13 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 10 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.