Market · 2 of 22 outcomes
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 2,271 | 65.9¢ | $1.83K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 5,988 | 18.8¢ | $1.17K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 5,170 | 34.3¢ | $1.01K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 1,216 | 73.5¢ | $979 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 2,637 | 20.8¢ | $514 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | No | 488 | 52.1¢ | $393 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 2,010 | 22.4¢ | $392 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | No | 377 | 65.9¢ | $303 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 280 | 84.1¢ | $226 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| strawberrypig0xff92…d07c | No | 257 | 75.8¢ | $207 | — |
| Anonn880xa074…d030 | No | 200 | 81.4¢ | $161 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 198 | 72.8¢ | $159 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | No | 175 | 68.5¢ | $141 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 152 | 83.7¢ | $122 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 600 | 23.7¢ | $117 | Break-even−$0.79 per $100 · 133 bets |
| Rasalgethi0x8393…f0ae | Yes | 548 | 2.5¢ | $107 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 126 | 75.8¢ | $101 | — |
| 0x2e0e…4a73 | No | 122 | 81.0¢ | $98 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 121 | 81.8¢ | $98 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | No | 83 | 80.0¢ | $67 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,297 bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | Yes | 330 | 14.7¢ | $64 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 300 | 14.6¢ | $59 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| DeezNuggies0x8333…eb93 | No | 71 | 80.4¢ | $57 | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 247 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 270 | 35.0¢ | $53 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 267 | 25.7¢ | $52 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 264 | 31.7¢ | $51 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 60 | 85.0¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| Szatoshi0x2bef…3afd | No | 46 | 84.0¢ | $37 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 45 | 56.0¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 184 | 26.0¢ | $36 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| SeanDavis52560x451a…a0c9 | Yes | 171 | 21.0¢ | $33 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 40 | 73.1¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 40 | 87.5¢ | $32 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| magicdogs0x6c4a…bdf8 | Yes | 160 | 20.6¢ | $31 | New40 settled bets |
| lorenzcurve0x1c13…c371 | Yes | 151 | 0.0¢ | $29 | New40 settled bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 148 | 12.4¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 28 | 86.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| ACPOH0x47a5…43d3 | Yes | 105 | 19.6¢ | $21 | New16 settled bets |
| 0x5fd7…3fa5 | No | 24 | 82.5¢ | $20 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 99 | 17.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 22 | 74.1¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| lizlocks0x8b1c…1ec7 | Yes | 86 | 19.6¢ | $17 | — |
| Relaccsed0xa6b7…d5f3 | Yes | 86 | 27.6¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xf05f…ed10 | Yes | 79 | 29.8¢ | $15 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 78 | 27.7¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | No | 16 | 61.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 15 | 74.8¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 63 | 13.4¢ | $12 | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 1.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x8f25…056e | Yes | 59 | 34.7¢ | $12 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 14 | 88.0¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 57 | 12.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0xfac0…fdd8 | No | 13 | 79.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x5f59…e61d | Yes | 50 | 36.9¢ | $10 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 43 | 21.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | Yes | 43 | 28.7¢ | $8 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 87.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 87.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 38 | 30.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | Yes | 35 | 15.5¢ | $7 | Proven+$11.21 per $100 · 235 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 28 | 17.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 252,392+ bets · updating |
| lyovius0xa61f…fa82 | Yes | 26 | 19.6¢ | $5 | — |
| sb8963450x77b8…e849 | No | 6 | 76.7¢ | $5 | — |
| DebraLee58120x31a8…1f07 | Yes | 25 | 21.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | No | 6 | 84.0¢ | $5 | — |
| upace0x499a…914f | No | 5 | 80.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5 | Yes | 22 | 32.7¢ | $4 | — |
| BradCaldwell95500xf6ef…095e | Yes | 21 | 22.0¢ | $4 | — |
| binaryOption0x098f…47cd | No | 5 | 79.0¢ | $4 | — |
| milanthomas0xeab3…a35d | No | 5 | 81.0¢ | $4 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 5 | 71.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 20 | 30.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| a5tthsyuo3c0x841c…b20d | Yes | 20 | 2.5¢ | $4 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 20 | 35.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 19 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 4 | 81.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 17 | 29.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| 0x5424…b232 | Yes | 17 | 12.4¢ | $3 | — |
| DonaldStark11940x22ec…4477 | No | 4 | 82.0¢ | $3 | — |
| River.Rat.King0x254b…18c5 | Yes | 15 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | Yes | 15 | 36.9¢ | $3 | New44 settled bets |
| Hatsuuuu0xb1a7…8150 | Yes | 15 | 24.7¢ | $3 | — |
| collinstraci0xa291…eb58 | No | 4 | 81.6¢ | $3 | — |
| FiscalLiberalSocialConservative0xf22e…18f2 | Yes | 14 | 36.9¢ | $3 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 3 | 81.6¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| crowganghq0x0687…bb08 | Yes | 13 | 19.0¢ | $3 | — |
| saiwang20260x025d…5b22 | Yes | 13 | 36.9¢ | $3 | — |
| DavidUnderwood47840xb1e1…d9c1 | No | 3 | 77.0¢ | $2 | — |
| darren660x7958…56d4 | No | 3 | 80.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6ca8…2813 | No | 2 | 67.9¢ | $2 | — |
| ShannonTorres74770x10bc…0451 | No | 2 | 80.0¢ | $2 | — |
| fatfattesttaker0x53d7…dae3 | No | 2 | 72.0¢ | $2 | — |
| TammyHenderson12010x90ec…62aa | No | 2 | 82.0¢ | $2 | — |
| tamara670xbb35…146b | No | 2 | 80.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x380d…3f8f | No | 2 | 80.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe72c…d3eb | No | 2 | 66.0¢ | $1 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 9 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 675 events · $32.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.