Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 609 events · $32M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 14 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 34,678 | 87.9¢ | $32.4K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | No | 30,042 | 63.3¢ | $28.1K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 28,094 | 93.5¢ | $26.3K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 770 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 17,319 | 50.7¢ | $16.2K | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| SaylorMoon0xecb1…5da3 | No | 12,409 | 52.3¢ | $11.6K | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,891 bets |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9 | No | 10,400 | 54.9¢ | $9.72K | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 2,364 bets |