Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 624 events · $32.1M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 14 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 34,678 | 87.9¢ | $32.4K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | No | 30,042 | 63.3¢ | $28.1K | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 28,094 | 93.5¢ | $26.3K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 17,319 | 50.7¢ | $16.2K | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| SaylorMoon0xecb1…5da3 | No | 12,409 | 52.3¢ | $11.6K | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 2,898 bets |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9 | No | 10,400 | 54.9¢ | $9.72K | Proven+$4.94 per $100 · 2,378 bets |
| yuhyuhyuhy3523520xbd04…fbb0 | No | 10,361 | 67.9¢ | $9.69K | Proven+$13.58 per $100 · 548 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | No | 10,000 | 54.0¢ | $9.35K | Positive+$2.88 per $100 · 1,252 bets |
| massive-pp0x4104…8f54 | No | 8,282 | 18.6¢ | $7.74K | — |
| zthunderfury0xc682…17bb | No | 7,771 | 73.7¢ | $7.27K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 497 bets |
| coali100x7bc1…8db4 | No | 6,819 | 47.5¢ | $6.38K | Positive+$4.11 per $100 · 400 bets |
| 0xc20c…e2bd | No | 6,057 | 37.6¢ | $5.66K | — |
| tedward1110xa218…94cd | No | 4,200 | 60.6¢ | $3.93K | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 263 bets |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | No | 3,192 | 59.1¢ | $2.98K | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | No | 3,052 | 60.6¢ | $2.85K | New41 settled bets |
| ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER0xecf4…9979 | No | 2,633 | 42.4¢ | $2.46K | — |
| BFBB0x5754…e515 | No | 2,199 | 17.0¢ | $2.06K | Proven+$5.16 per $100 · 2,482 bets |
| Mannycalifornia0x6770…93b4 | Yes | 24,597 | 20.4¢ | $1.6K | — |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | No | 1,640 | 82.6¢ | $1.53K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| omnibus-4247790x4247…91c4 | Yes | 23,332 | 76.0¢ | $1.52K | Losing−$12.51 per $100 · 6,017 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 1,589 | 31.7¢ | $1.49K | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| PotatoKotato0xa7cc…644e | No | 1,505 | 74.8¢ | $1.41K | Positive+$1.26 per $100 · 275 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 1,446 | 74.5¢ | $1.35K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,953 bets |
| M8880x4344…f90d | Yes | 20,460 | 3.0¢ | $1.33K | Proven+$3.72 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| 0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f0x3b44…264e | No | 1,302 | 34.9¢ | $1.22K | Proven+$14.55 per $100 · 525 bets |
| Certify01480xf44d…60af | Yes | 16,609 | 62.7¢ | $1.08K | Proven+$3.65 per $100 · 113 bets |
| 8014a3d96c0x3592…c68c | No | 1,110 | 65.9¢ | $1.04K | New34 settled bets |
| great-cuttle-ketchup0x247d…c55a | Yes | 15,904 | 22.7¢ | $1.03K | — |
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 | No | 1,062 | 86.8¢ | $993 | Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 1,690 bets |
| 0x87120xa676…1c22 | No | 1,000 | 82.0¢ | $935 | Break-even−$0.99 per $100 · 424 bets |
| neetbets0x4526…7a45 | No | 999 | 86.0¢ | $934 | Proven+$4.13 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 950 | 56.0¢ | $888 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| pop0x6404…f250 | No | 931 | 56.8¢ | $871 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 12,980 | 8.5¢ | $844 | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 893 | 88.5¢ | $835 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 837 | 83.8¢ | $783 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| YangShi-7900x836d…8c44 | Yes | 11,209 | 39.1¢ | $729 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 706 | 92.7¢ | $660 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| seal70x2b9d…adc0 | No | 663 | 43.8¢ | $620 | Proven+$9.63 per $100 · 898 bets |
| jjaysunn10xdb33…19d9 | Yes | 8,600 | 30.2¢ | $559 | — |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | Yes | 7,797 | 27.1¢ | $507 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| TBDdotvote0xcddf…5967 | No | 536 | 57.0¢ | $501 | — |
| gigakool0x94bd…9f69 | Yes | 7,257 | 36.7¢ | $472 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 500 | 74.8¢ | $468 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| Sydnar0xc561…fa80 | No | 500 | 62.0¢ | $468 | — |
| FEAROFWHAT0x3437…f8f3 | No | 500 | 64.0¢ | $468 | Proven+$2.61 per $100 · 624 bets |
| 0x698a…fe0d | No | 500 | 52.0¢ | $468 | — |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | No | 500 | 72.8¢ | $468 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | No | 500 | 62.4¢ | $468 | — |
| riitmo0xbfb3…f890 | No | 496 | 88.1¢ | $464 | — |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 477 | 55.7¢ | $446 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | No | 469 | 76.0¢ | $438 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 435 | 92.5¢ | $407 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| 1310710xa8b9…6b7c | Yes | 6,196 | 17.7¢ | $403 | — |
| Aleksei-Ivanovich0xf0ee…4b33 | No | 423 | 67.3¢ | $395 | — |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | No | 405 | 75.9¢ | $378 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,596 bets |
| for-the-lulz0x61e2…4958 | No | 380 | 42.7¢ | $355 | — |
| Xzibit690x0af4…89b4 | No | 374 | 64.9¢ | $349 | Proven+$5.57 per $100 · 707 bets |
| WALLYFIGHTS0x445e…9be0 | Yes | 5,240 | 28.2¢ | $341 | Losing−$3.59 per $100 · 2,067 bets |
| 0xfcf2…7279 | No | 364 | 34.9¢ | $340 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 357 | 92.4¢ | $334 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| miya20160xbecd…f54e | No | 355 | 85.5¢ | $332 | Proven+$2.17 per $100 · 2,286 bets |
| onetimeplsxo0xe7c6…2b82 | Yes | 4,568 | 31.7¢ | $297 | — |
| MtnMark0x70ff…b65f | Yes | 3,931 | 20.7¢ | $255 | Positive+$40.45 per $100 · 239 bets |
| 0x51a4…02d6 | Yes | 3,921 | 41.0¢ | $255 | — |
| Noupeinnouguein0x133a…8397 | Yes | 3,133 | 26.4¢ | $204 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 344 bets |
| juicegpt0x597e…6536 | Yes | 3,076 | 48.8¢ | $200 | — |
| Dentron0x34de…bd88 | Yes | 3,060 | 51.9¢ | $199 | — |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 2,796 | 16.7¢ | $182 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| ElonMusksQueef0xa8e0…70e2 | Yes | 2,684 | 32.1¢ | $174 | — |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 2,600 | 17.0¢ | $169 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| 99909990xe620…03ac | Yes | 2,189 | 12.2¢ | $142 | — |
| yayyay0x25d7…c2bf | Yes | 2,150 | 28.6¢ | $140 | New80 settled bets |
| T20260xda96…7c3a | Yes | 2,104 | 13.4¢ | $137 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 2,000 | 3.3¢ | $130 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | Yes | 1,957 | 2.6¢ | $127 | — |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 1,927 | 22.9¢ | $125 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 1,500 | 34.7¢ | $97 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| CheeseCutter0xd67b…bd5c | Yes | 1,400 | 21.9¢ | $91 | — |
| easynow0xc157…728c | Yes | 1,099 | 57.0¢ | $71 | — |
| Friday0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | 1,000 | 4.0¢ | $65 | Proven+$15.18 per $100 · 2,590 bets |
| Nobody230410x45cc…6400 | Yes | 1,000 | 37.7¢ | $65 | — |
| bluetens270xb2c5…6593 | Yes | 755 | 9.5¢ | $49 | — |
| Bonniel0xeffb…34b8 | Yes | 741 | 41.5¢ | $48 | — |
| thesandman0xf87b…180a | Yes | 664 | 11.8¢ | $43 | — |
| Ligmaballs1230xb0ea…8b89 | Yes | 628 | 35.5¢ | $41 | — |
| MrNFT0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | 625 | 62.7¢ | $41 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,095 bets |
| ox825C9a38d7033Fc2f9d82432d3A1742C38EAdfa00x825c…dfa0 | Yes | 511 | 8.1¢ | $33 | — |
| Sylvester.the.Cat0x0f2b…665a | Yes | 500 | 20.0¢ | $33 | Proven+$7.28 per $100 · 118 bets |
| Theshahoflongisland0xa772…797a | Yes | 481 | 86.5¢ | $31 | — |
| Fishcup0xd031…f613 | Yes | 455 | 11.1¢ | $30 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 451 | 1.2¢ | $29 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| SatoshiAlien120x048b…0796 | Yes | 420 | 31.9¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x4049…4db4 | Yes | 417 | 12.4¢ | $27 | — |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 409 | 34.0¢ | $27 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 402 | 8.5¢ | $26 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 400 | 5.0¢ | $26 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| PixelNomad420xfe2f…d675 | Yes | 393 | 28.8¢ | $26 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 362 | 4.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| sneakyykaens0x8b62…3a41 | Yes | 360 | 41.6¢ | $23 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.