Market · 19 of 23 outcomes
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 188,003 | 0.1¢ | $94 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| tu78re0xd4aa…66ea | No | 60 | 99.9¢ | $60 | — |
| pregamee0xa88d…9830 | Yes | 75,000 | 0.1¢ | $38 | — |
| tumhhuhu0xe753…02b3 | No | 18 | 99.9¢ | $18 | — |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 24,320 | 2.2¢ | $12 | Positive+$28.53 per $100 · 4,038 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 668 events · $32.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.