Market · 16 of 23 outcomes
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tripping0x6480…8dc5 | Yes | 105,283 | 0.2¢ | $53 | Proven+$4.35 per $100 · 895 bets |
| pregamee0xa88d…9830 | Yes | 88,467 | 0.1¢ | $44 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 51,000 | 0.1¢ | $26 | Positive+$12.17 per $100 · 3,925 bets |
| bananavomBa7170x7e03…770f | No | 16 | 99.9¢ | $16 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.2¢ | $15 | — |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 29,373 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
11 more outcomes in this event.
These 23 outcomes add up to 101.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.