Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 622 events · $32.1M in play
Adding up this event's outcomes gives Democrats a chance of the Senate. The Senate market itself says 63.5%.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60460x0f22…b832 | No | 1,600 | 99.3¢ | $1.6K | — |
| eejay0xec67…86b9 | No | 1,100 | 99.3¢ | $1.1K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 700 |
| 99.3¢ |
| $699 |
| — |
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Yes | 420,100 | 9.2¢ | $630 | New74 settled bets |
| vicvic40x42b0…dfd5 | No | 420 | 99.4¢ | $419 | — |
| Vgsps110x4f42…8bbc | Yes | 203,536 | 0.2¢ | $305 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 1,943 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 11.6K shares each side · Show
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