Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-36 House seat?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 520 | 92.8¢ | $507 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 209 | 94.6¢ | $204 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 88 | 95.6¢ | $86 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 20 | 96.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 15 | 92.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 361 | 6.7¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
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