Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-36 House seat?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 520 | 92.8¢ | $507 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 209 | 94.6¢ | $204 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 88 | 95.6¢ | $86 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 20 | 96.9¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 6,265 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 15 | 92.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 361 | 6.7¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| xujimatrix0x85cb…db4a | Yes | 6 | 96.2¢ | $6 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | No | 160 | 6.2¢ | $4 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 4 | 96.1¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | No | 98 | 5.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 54 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No | 36 | 6.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 16r0ob0x0b34…ffc3 | No | 33 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 30 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | No | 30 | 3.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$33.48 per $100 · 563 bets |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 25 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | No | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | No | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 720 events · $33.3M in play