Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 2 outcomes add up to 99.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2026 midterms · 625 events · $32.1M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 9,650 | 84.0¢ | $8.35K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| AuspiciousArt0x30b7…e81c | Yes | 5,000 | 86.2¢ | $4.33K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 3,001 | 59.6¢ | $2.6K | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 2,823 | 74.0¢ | $2.44K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,500 | 87.7¢ | $1.3K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,042 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 833 | 87.0¢ | $720 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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