Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 661 events · $32.2M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 9,650 | 84.0¢ | $8.35K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| AuspiciousArt0x30b7…e81c | Yes | 5,000 | 86.2¢ | $4.33K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 3,001 | 59.6¢ | $2.6K | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 2,823 | 74.0¢ | $2.44K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,500 | 87.7¢ | $1.3K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 833 | 87.0¢ | $720 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 778 | 72.8¢ | $673 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| Gamble.and.bankurpt0x9fd4…325c | Yes | 698 | 86.5¢ | $603 | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 595 bets |
| Ignacio060xcdaf…eff6 | Yes | 562 | 62.3¢ | $486 | — |
| 0x841f…bbd0 | Yes | 562 | 89.4¢ | $486 | New98 settled bets |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 542 | 74.5¢ | $469 | Break-even−$0.79 per $100 · 133 bets |
| 0x4bd8…5c53 | Yes | 500 | 81.8¢ | $432 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 437 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 463 | 47.3¢ | $401 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| shyqa0000x0b57…5975 | Yes | 400 | 77.7¢ | $346 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 147 bets |
| nnimrodd0x09bb…f8b1 | Yes | 400 | 63.9¢ | $346 | Losing−$3.50 per $100 · 496 bets |
| 0x225b…422a | No | 2,500 | 14.5¢ | $338 | Proven+$9.78 per $100 · 302 bets |
| geoffmar0x469f…5de4 | No | 2,402 | 12.9¢ | $324 | New2 settled bets |
| Bperil0xc624…ee24 | Yes | 372 | 81.2¢ | $322 | Proven+$3.56 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| elockt0x01da…ea89 | Yes | 371 | 81.0¢ | $321 | New61 settled bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 332 | 61.6¢ | $287 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| ponydsb0xe8dc…3e53 | Yes | 322 | 87.5¢ | $279 | — |
| datperson0x5d2f…24de | Yes | 300 | 38.0¢ | $260 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 134 bets |
| MMH50x551d…4afe | No | 1,867 | 14.1¢ | $252 | New15 settled bets |
| ForTheWin19840x9cd5…9f12 | No | 1,805 | 22.0¢ | $244 | New12 settled bets |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | No | 1,581 | 11.0¢ | $213 | New3 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 245 | 85.4¢ | $212 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 239 | 75.7¢ | $207 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | No | 1,400 | 34.6¢ | $189 | New34 settled bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 205 | 86.5¢ | $177 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | Yes | 200 | 86.5¢ | $173 | — |
| cooljit0xa917…4e8d | Yes | 181 | 86.5¢ | $157 | — |
| Ripped0x7ee8…8069 | Yes | 181 | 83.6¢ | $156 | — |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 166 | 69.0¢ | $144 | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 158 | 85.5¢ | $137 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | No | 833 | 18.6¢ | $113 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| halulula0x13ba…d971 | Yes | 129 | 82.6¢ | $112 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 119 | 86.0¢ | $103 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| mvmca16110x3744…d422 | Yes | 117 | 87.0¢ | $101 | — |
| petruccci0x9370…9e88 | Yes | 100 | 86.0¢ | $87 | — |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 100 | 74.8¢ | $87 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | Yes | 95 | 79.2¢ | $82 | — |
| RibeyeStack0xdb8d…aa15 | Yes | 90 | 55.0¢ | $78 | — |
| M.C.Escher0x9048…2759 | Yes | 86 | 58.0¢ | $75 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 539 | 21.0¢ | $73 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | No | 500 | 12.0¢ | $68 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 75 | 80.9¢ | $65 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | No | 440 | 24.7¢ | $59 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 66 | 54.2¢ | $57 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 61 | 88.0¢ | $53 | — |
| Andi7470x4609…2951 | Yes | 56 | 72.8¢ | $48 | — |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | Yes | 50 | 73.8¢ | $43 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 46 | 75.7¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 280 | 42.6¢ | $38 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| Terrence19920xc094…c8d4 | No | 205 | 18.4¢ | $28 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| 0xf27dc0x274e…648c | No | 200 | 12.4¢ | $27 | Proven+$8.09 per $100 · 272 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 198 | 27.0¢ | $27 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| CyberOptic0x2fee…2e1a | Yes | 31 | 68.9¢ | $26 | — |
| henriksson0xf937…53a1 | No | 172 | 19.6¢ | $23 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 155 | 61.0¢ | $21 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Jimdreamjim0x72ee…0a3e | Yes | 24 | 85.5¢ | $21 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 22 | 62.1¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| lonehighway0x0778…73d1 | No | 143 | 39.3¢ | $19 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 327 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 131 | 31.0¢ | $18 | — |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | No | 130 | 11.5¢ | $18 | — |
| glchst0xa370…6b5b | Yes | 20 | 54.0¢ | $17 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | No | 126 | 11.4¢ | $17 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| 0xd356…963d | Yes | 17 | 71.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 103 | 62.0¢ | $14 | — |
| FaucetWiki0x8aac…0e7a | No | 102 | 15.4¢ | $14 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 3,494 bets |
| JakeMastersun0x3767…b3bb | Yes | 16 | 63.9¢ | $14 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 101 | 62.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| Echelonprt0x516d…03e5 | No | 100 | 29.8¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.63 per $100 · 872 bets |
| farbyx0x43aa…931d | Yes | 15 | 73.8¢ | $13 | — |
| sweise0xb8f6…4f7f | No | 93 | 24.8¢ | $13 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 80 | 34.0¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| TuttyFruity0x49b6…d152 | No | 75 | 39.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | No | 62 | 29.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| 0x5424…b232 | No | 58 | 41.5¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x312d…6814 | No | 43 | 59.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 7,326 bets |
| ghostviolet0x3da6…9ac4 | No | 40 | 13.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.33 per $100 · 907 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 38 | 12.9¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 38 | 24.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| 0x1416…d1aa | No | 33 | 44.0¢ | $4 | — |
| FRANK.THE.TANK0x51f7…ae1f | No | 31 | 48.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 4,806 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 26 | 13.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| KellyPhillips90720xad90…9090 | No | 24 | 63.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa06e…d147 | No | 22 | 13.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | 22 | 36.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| 0xf4b7…751f | No | 22 | 45.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | No | 20 | 38.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 20 | 23.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd263…54a7 | No | 19 | 55.0¢ | $3 | — |
| mangoking050x442c…3db8 | No | 19 | 27.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 10,157 bets |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | No | 17 | 36.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 17 | 12.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 2025alfonsoreyes20260x6cb6…fa76 | No | 14 | 35.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 5aZR7aq48ier0xac9e…9a65 | No | 14 | 36.0¢ | $2 | — |
| szarruk0x677e…5d5a | No | 10 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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