Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 646 events · $32.2M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 2,695 | 82.2¢ | $2.36K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| jaredg0x36c2…2b8c | Yes | 11,441 | 22.5¢ | $1.43K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 |
| No |
| 1,421 |
| 83.3¢ |
| $1.24K |
| Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 917 | 75.7¢ | $802 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 900 | 72.0¢ | $788 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| 0x023a…4fbc | Yes | 5,203 | 33.2¢ | $650 | — |
These 2 outcomes add up to 99.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.