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Topic · Politics
5,356 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
9.3% of Polymarket
Events · markets
618 · 5,356
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
4 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 4
in 24 days
Biggest first · chance of Yes
| Market | Event | Chance | This week | Ends | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | Which party will win the House in 2026? | 90.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $3.98M |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:22 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Republicans Sweep |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms |
| 8.5¢ |
| up 1 point this week |
| Nov 4 |
| $3.18M |
| Republican Party | Which party will win the House in 2026? | 9.5¢ | up 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $3.15M |
| Democrats Sweep | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 61.5¢ | down 5 points this week | Nov 4 | $2.37M |
| R Senate, D House | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 28.5¢ | up 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $1.56M |
| D Senate, R House | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 0.9¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.47M |
| Democratic Party | Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | 63.5¢ | down 4 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.32M |
| Other | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $1.19M |
| Ken Paxton (R) | Texas Senate Election Winner | 37.5¢ | up 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.07M |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | 26.5¢ | down 5 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.01M |
| Republican Party | Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | 36.5¢ | up 3 points this week | Nov 4 | $0.94M |
| James Talarico (D) | Texas Senate Election Winner | 62.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.93M |
| Troy Jackson (D) | Maine Senate Election Winner | 58.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.46M |
| Sherrod Brown (D) | Ohio Senate Election Winner | 61.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.40M |
| Abdul El-Sayed (D) | Michigan Senate Election Winner | 69.5¢ | down 3 points this week | Nov 4 | $0.38M |
| Susan Collins (R) | Maine Senate Election Winner | 41.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.36M |
| Annie Andrews (D) | South Carolina Senate Election Winner | 15.5¢ | up 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.33M |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | 98.4¢ | up 0.4 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.33M |
| Mary Peltola | Alaska Senate Election Winner | 72.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.33M |
| Jon Husted (R) | Ohio Senate Election Winner | 38.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.27M |
| Mike Rogers (R) | Michigan Senate Election Winner | 31.5¢ | up 4.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $0.26M |
| Darline Graham Nordone (R) | South Carolina Senate Election Winner | 84.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.24M |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | 6.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Jan 4 | $0.23M |
| Sen. Dan Sullivan | Alaska Senate Election Winner | 28.5¢ | up 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.16M |
| Tom Steyer | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.16M |
| David Crowley (D) | Wisconsin Governor Election Winner | 80.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.13M |
| Tom Tiffany (R) | Wisconsin Governor Election Winner | 18.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.12M |
| Greg Abbott (R) | Texas Governor Election Winner | 80.0¢ | up 6.1 points this week | Nov 4 | $0.11M |
| Steve Hilton | California Governor Election Winner | 3.9¢ | down 0.7 points this week | Nov 4 | $0.11M |
| Gina Hinojosa (D) | Texas Governor Election Winner | 21.0¢ | down 5.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $84.8K |
| Aaron Ford (D) | Nevada Governor Election Winner | 53.5¢ | up 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $76.9K |
| John E. Sununu (R) | New Hampshire Senate Election Winner | 10.5¢ | down 3.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $75.0K |
| Chris Pappas (D) | New Hampshire Senate Election Winner | 89.5¢ | up 3 points this week | Nov 4 | $74.0K |
| Mike Collins (R) | Georgia Senate Election Winner | 3.7¢ | up 0.8 points this week | Nov 4 | $72.5K |
| Xavier Becerra | California Governor Election Winner | 96.0¢ | up 0.6 points this week | Nov 4 | $68.9K |
| Hormuz Agreement; R Senate | Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? | 4.0¢ | – | Nov 4 | $67.4K |
| Alex Padilla | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $64.4K |
| Joe Lombardo (R) | Nevada Governor Election Winner | 46.0¢ | down 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $63.5K |
| Chad Bianco | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $62.8K |
| 54 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 1.9¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Nov 3 | $60.0K |
| Kyle Langford | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $59.0K |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | 1.1¢ | down 1.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $58.4K |
| Rick Caruso | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $58.0K |
| Nicole Shanahan | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $57.4K |
| Bruce Blakeman (R) | New York Governor Election Winner | 4.0¢ | – | Nov 4 | $57.3K |
| Katie Porter | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $57.1K |
| Betty Yee | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $56.4K |
| Jon Ossoff (D) | Georgia Senate Election Winner | 96.2¢ | down 0.9 points this week | Nov 4 | $55.5K |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (R) | Ohio Governor Election Winner | 32.0¢ | down 1.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $54.5K |
| Amy Acton (D) | Ohio Governor Election Winner | 67.5¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $53.0K |