Market · 13 of 23 outcomes
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 625 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
11 more outcomes in this event.
These 23 outcomes add up to 101.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 3,710 | 94.9¢ | $3.71K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xcb58…0160 | No | 1,256 | 97.7¢ | $1.26K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 113 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 123pocky0x06b6…eba6 | No | 1,000 | 97.5¢ | $1K | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 803 | 98.1¢ | $802 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| iridoyume0x3545…1a96 | No | 563 | 88.8¢ | $563 | — |
| 0x0009…1d43 | No | 350 | 97.8¢ | $350 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 221 bets |