Market · 13 of 23 outcomes
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 663 events · $32.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 3,710 | 94.9¢ | $3.71K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xcb58…0160 | No | 1,256 | 97.7¢ | $1.26K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 113 bets |
| 123pocky0x06b6…eba6 | No | 1,000 | 97.5¢ | $1K | Losing−$2.87 per $100 · 228 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 803 | 98.1¢ | $802 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| iridoyume0x3545…1a96 | No | 563 | 88.8¢ | $563 | — |
| 0x0009…1d43 | No | 350 | 97.8¢ | $350 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 221 bets |
| BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4 | No | 350 | 96.5¢ | $350 | Proven+$9.52 per $100 · 523 bets |
| 0x2578…b2a6 | Yes | 315,580 | 2.7¢ | $158 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 110 bets |
| 0x59d1…07ce | No | 147 | 98.1¢ | $147 | New75 settled bets |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 73 | 94.5¢ | $73 | — |
| tuoleis0xebba…9dc6 | No | 50 | 98.7¢ | $50 | — |
| VortexTrading0x41c7…0df5 | No | 50 | 97.1¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 5,224 bets |
| wingzz0x32df…cce8 | No | 35 | 91.8¢ | $35 | — |
| 0x6973…53ca | No | 31 | 95.9¢ | $31 | New55 settled bets |
| rocky420100x84d7…298f | No | 19 | 97.3¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x5609…54dc | No | 18 | 96.0¢ | $18 | — |
| JessycaAufderhar0x4dcc…b3bd | No | 17 | 99.3¢ | $17 | — |
| ClaudeReilly0x136c…9ed8 | No | 17 | 96.1¢ | $17 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 15 | 97.8¢ | $15 | — |
| profit4real0x14bc…3904 | No | 14 | 99.7¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 672 bets |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | No | 13 | 92.4¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 11,334 bets |
| pollopollu0x7c83…d800 | No | 12 | 100.7¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x43e8…af56 | No | 11 | 96.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$4.40 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| GeorGona0xeb74…0610 | No | 10 | 97.8¢ | $10 | — |
| Noah86120x7d3b…d7d8 | No | 9 | 99.9¢ | $9 | — |
| quiz0xbc59…035e | No | 8 | 97.7¢ | $8 | — |
| 14547865120x3e14…d17e | No | 7 | 96.8¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x54a0…b14c | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| EllenBishop3210x5998…8005 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| rydv0xa492…9e0c | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| ElijahWeber2950x1b06…530a | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 7 | 98.5¢ | $7 | — |
| KyleCross3940x6a60…2c50 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| LumenFalk98240xfc55…dd71 | No | 6 | 97.2¢ | $6 | — |
| JuliaGriffin250x4ac0…38c6 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Daniel15310x59e6…5743 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Philip81570x68ec…5fce | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x5b0a…33d4 | No | 5 | 98.0¢ | $5 | — |
| d270e0xe359…6e1e | No | 5 | 97.6¢ | $5 | — |
| Grav0x3c61…7fb8 | No | 5 | 98.4¢ | $5 | New40 settled bets |
| rillsoapsters0x458f…3036 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GrantRogers350x4e2a…b11a | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| barenverge0x4eb6…5e8a | No | 5 | 96.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| HeatherConner4540xf53c…6d7e | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Sean69660x207f…3ab5 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Genevieve44640x7fd2…dc5f | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Teresa20220x5e1a…6590 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 4 | 97.5¢ | $4 | — |
| renewTired0xe84f…b08d | No | 4 | 91.8¢ | $4 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7,681 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 7,547 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,813 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,063 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 5,700 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 5,280 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 5,194 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 4,350 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| CDAP10xe033…40a5 | Yes | 4,308 | 3.0¢ | $2 | New40 settled bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 3,872 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.88 per $100 · 52,957+ bets · updating |
| EARTHDWELLER0xc018…018a | Yes | 3,754 | 3.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$12.72 per $100 · 544 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,520 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| eelbuga140x203b…9dfd | Yes | 3,383 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| dreamingToBeAGuru0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | 3,306 | 1.5¢ | $2 | — |
| elusivemoose0xd480…97ed | Yes | 3,000 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 2,980 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,650 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,302 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 2,200 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,182 | 1.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| cyberdrift0xdc8d…9971 | Yes | 1,786 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 1,761 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,710 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| RITB1230x724d…8dea | Yes | 1,657 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 22,997 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 1,514 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,200 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,183 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| rustin1230x8c21…adaf | Yes | 1,023 | 2.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,011 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 810 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 674 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| LilaThomas0x76cb…5b2e | Yes | 667 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 660 | 2.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 571 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| Patrick1110t0x8591…c753 | Yes | 498 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 496 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 452 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 450 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| BlueStarLtd0x2675…e4da | Yes | 435 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| luttoo0xc914…c458 | Yes | 434 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 429 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.62 per $100 · 17,356 bets |
| HiddenEdge0xc71e…f450 | Yes | 400 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 366 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| tippman0x2bb1…9a60 | Yes | 304 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x084c…cec2 | Yes | 295 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 285 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| AlexCG0x0363…3025 | Yes | 284 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 283 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| 0xcb97…ac71 | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbdf7…0719 | Yes | 96 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 52 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.