Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 26,176 | 97.0¢ | $25.1K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 8,462 | 95.3¢ | $8.12K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 3,264 | 94.3¢ | $3.13K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 2,222 | 94.0¢ | $2.13K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No | 1,375 | 95.1¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| AxiaSystem0x18cd…d8d2 | No | 1,000 | 89.0¢ | $960 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 9,147 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 26 shares each side · Show
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US 2026 midterms · 622 events · $32.1M in play