Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 26,176 | 97.0¢ | $25.1K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 8,462 | 95.3¢ | $8.12K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 3,264 | 94.3¢ | $3.13K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 2,222 | 94.0¢ | $2.13K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No | 1,375 | 95.1¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| AxiaSystem0x18cd…d8d2 | No | 1,000 | 89.0¢ | $959 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 9,147 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 993 | 94.5¢ | $953 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | No | 961 | 93.6¢ | $922 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | No | 792 | 95.2¢ | $760 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 18,372 | 3.0¢ | $753 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 755 | 94.4¢ | $724 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 693 | 92.8¢ | $665 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| sourdough4200x9a73…3a64 | Yes | 14,620 | 5.9¢ | $599 | — |
| Paeniscus.0x111e…3753 | No | 597 | 90.0¢ | $573 | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 588 | 94.2¢ | $564 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| tiduspercivalez0x9e26…bd05 | Yes | 12,539 | 16.5¢ | $514 | — |
| MoeZart0xf648…8232 | No | 466 | 88.0¢ | $447 | New46 settled bets |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | No | 420 | 95.0¢ | $402 | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 406 | 91.8¢ | $389 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 300 | 91.3¢ | $288 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| choclopolis0xd449…450f | No | 250 | 95.0¢ | $240 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 5,576 | 6.2¢ | $229 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 231 | 91.0¢ | $222 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 225 | 91.3¢ | $216 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 175 | 94.0¢ | $168 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 3,257 | 5.4¢ | $134 | Losing−$17.28 per $100 · 7,289 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 125 | 94.0¢ | $120 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,456 bets |
| pvzergrush0x3f7d…191a | Yes | 2,774 | 10.8¢ | $114 | — |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 115 | 94.2¢ | $110 | — |
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 112 | 89.0¢ | $108 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,124 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | No | 111 | 95.1¢ | $106 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| TheFOMCGambler0x1693…5d20 | No | 110 | 88.2¢ | $106 | Proven+$16.41 per $100 · 184 bets |
| grokbok0x3b14…34fe | Yes | 2,028 | 4.9¢ | $83 | — |
| tonyboy1080x6d1b…1bec | No | 75 | 96.4¢ | $72 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 1,600 | 5.5¢ | $66 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | No | 64 | 97.0¢ | $62 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 1,291 | 6.2¢ | $53 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| SarahFlores77020x10d8…9f12 | No | 44 | 88.0¢ | $42 | — |
| trader-23b4fbcc0x23b4…8e7a | No | 42 | 96.4¢ | $40 | — |
| rjpoly0x21fe…da90 | No | 40 | 87.0¢ | $38 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 40 | 93.0¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 38 | 95.4¢ | $36 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| Freecoin10x01c7…4da2 | Yes | 798 | 8.1¢ | $33 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 34 | 95.5¢ | $33 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 28 | 88.7¢ | $27 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 28 | 90.0¢ | $27 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 600 | 6.8¢ | $25 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 500 | 5.0¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| 0x886e…b9be | No | 20 | 96.1¢ | $19 | Proven+$4.94 per $100 · 125 bets |
| y4rrow0xf29b…961e | No | 16 | 92.0¢ | $15 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 359 | 6.2¢ | $15 | — |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | No | 15 | 96.2¢ | $14 | — |
| Fortuna7770x4145…fc24 | Yes | 333 | 9.0¢ | $14 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 316 | 9.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 281 | 3.5¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0x2fdc…3c9d | No | 11 | 88.0¢ | $11 | — |
| darkestpool0x1044…8ceb | No | 11 | 88.4¢ | $11 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 259 | 12.2¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| trader-61bce6b40x61bc…0e16 | No | 10 | 96.1¢ | $10 | — |
| TheNoobBeaver0x2bcd…cbfb | No | 10 | 96.2¢ | $10 | — |
| pc-company0x34c6…ea15 | Yes | 200 | 5.2¢ | $8 | — |
| cryptopetrucho0x7a31…1164 | No | 8 | 88.0¢ | $8 | — |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 146 | 3.6¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| 0xd2f2…2f05 | No | 5 | 93.3¢ | $5 | — |
| JoeDirtBuffett0x0e93…0078 | Yes | 111 | 4.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 4,025 bets |
| 0x9297…358b | Yes | 111 | 5.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 8484045b89a2260x6a80…baba | Yes | 100 | 7.3¢ | $4 | New8 settled bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 3 | 95.4¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | Yes | 57 | 6.2¢ | $2 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 55 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | Yes | 53 | 5.2¢ | $2 | New44 settled bets |
| Sylar0120x9b7b…ec5b | Yes | 50 | 3.0¢ | $2 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 48 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x87f7…8f45 | Yes | 34 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x061f…9581 | Yes | 33 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | Yes | 27 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | Yes | 26 | 18.2¢ | $1 | — |
| brianmok0x4108…17b1 | Yes | 20 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| umbrella-labs0x860c…418d | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| fr33z3rburn0x85dc…882c | Yes | 12 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| HankS0xc877…05b4 | Yes | 10 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 3-mil-on-tour0x7595…872e | Yes | 6 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 4 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| jksdnf0xb6bf…c1c1 | Yes | 4 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 474 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| MichaelJackson34480x7f46…01b1 | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JackTaylor96240xdcb1…c4e8 | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| virgilia0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 26 shares each side · Show
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US 2026 midterms · 625 events · $32.1M in play