Market · 15 of 23 outcomes
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 132,905 | 0.1¢ | $66 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 79,982 | 0.1¢ | $40 | — |
| byule0x45cb…e07f | No | 38 | 99.8¢ | $38 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 51,000 | 0.1¢ | $26 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,928 bets |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 16 | 99.9¢ | $16 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 651 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
11 more outcomes in this event.
These 23 outcomes add up to 101.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.