Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 3,940 | 74.8¢ | $3.05K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Yes | 9,000 | 27.9¢ | $2.02K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 4,234 | 30.0¢ | $953 | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
| 0x6b25…7a69 | Yes | 3,829 | 26.0¢ | $861 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 4,295 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | No | 771 | 73.3¢ | $597 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | No | 327 | 76.0¢ | $254 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 624 events · $32.1M in play