Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 622 events · $32.1M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 14,735 | 74.8¢ | $11K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 9,093 | 75.0¢ | $6.77K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 3,222 | 88.5¢ | $2.4K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| Vespuccii0x712f…9fe6 | Yes | 3,000 | 76.0¢ | $2.23K | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 238 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 5,667 | 24.1¢ | $1.45K | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| 0x51a4…02d6 | No | 5,095 | 32.3¢ | $1.3K | — |