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Topic · Politics
41 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
1.4% of Polymarket
Events · markets
25 · 41
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest first · chance of Yes
| Market | Event | Chance | This week | Ends | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election | 87.9¢ | up 2.3 points this week | Oct 5 | $4.34M |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:15 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory |
| 49.0¢ |
| – |
| Oct 26 |
| $34.0K |
| Flávio Bolsonaro <4% | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 26.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $31.1K |
| Eduardo Paes | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.4¢ | down 45.1 points this week | Oct 5 | $29.6K |
| Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12% | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 15.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $26.6K |
| Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+ | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 2.1¢ | – | Oct 26 | $19.2K |
| Douglas Ruas | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 98.7¢ | up 57.9 points this week | Oct 5 | $18.9K |
| Fred Pacheco | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $17.2K |
| Lula da Silva <4% | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 9.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $11.1K |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad | 71.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $10.6K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas | 41.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $9.4K |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará | 90.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $8.5K |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas | 57.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $7.9K |
| Lula da Silva 4-8% | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 26 | $7.1K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad | 29.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $6.8K |
| Lula da Silva 8-12% | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 0.2¢ | – | Oct 26 | $6.4K |
| Celina Leão | Federal District Governor Election Winner | 98.7¢ | down 0.3 points this week | Oct 5 | $6.1K |
| Lula da Silva 12%+ | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 26 | $5.8K |
| Felipe Curi | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $4.4K |
| Anthony Garotinho | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $3.8K |
| Rafa Luz | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $3.1K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará | 8.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $2.8K |
| Colonel Busnello | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $2.6K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in São Paulo | 95.8¢ | – | Oct 26 | $2.5K |
| André Ceciliano | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $2.4K |
| Wilson Witzel | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $2.4K |
| Arruda | Federal District Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | down 0.5 points this week | Oct 5 | $2.3K |
| Dr. Luizinho | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $2.2K |
| Tarcísio Motta | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $2.1K |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Bahia | 96.8¢ | – | Oct 26 | $2.0K |
| Chico Machado | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $1.9K |
| Lindbergh Farias | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $1.9K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro | 98.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $1.7K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rondônia | 99.2¢ | – | Oct 26 | $1.6K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo | 97.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $1.6K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Roraima | 98.9¢ | – | Oct 26 | $1.5K |
| Leandro Grass | Federal District Governor Election Winner | 1.3¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Oct 5 | $1.3K |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais | 3.8¢ | – | Oct 26 | $1.3K |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraíba | 98.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $1.3K |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Sergipe | 98.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $1.2K |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Roraima | 0.8¢ | – | Oct 26 | $1.1K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul | 98.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $1.1K |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 26 | $1.0K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás | 99.7¢ | – | Oct 26 | $807 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraíba | 1.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $791 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraná | 98.1¢ | – | Oct 26 | $779 |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul | 0.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $765 |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Piauí | 96.4¢ | – | Oct 26 | $760 |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in São Paulo | 3.8¢ | – | Oct 26 | $746 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina | 99.1¢ | – | Oct 26 | $732 |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina | 0.8¢ | – | Oct 26 | $701 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever? | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever? | 83.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $664 |
| Nicola Miccione | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $654 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Bahia | 2.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $571 |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco | 97.8¢ | – | Oct 26 | $545 |
| Eduardo Pazuello | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $466 |
| André Português | Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $449 |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro | 1.7¢ | – | Oct 26 | $422 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Sergipe | 1.8¢ | – | Oct 26 | $370 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Piauí | 3.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $343 |
| Elisson | Federal District Governor Election Winner | 0.3¢ | down 0.2 points this week | Oct 5 | $327 |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Ceará | 97.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $324 |
| Expedito Mendonça | Federal District Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | down 0.2 points this week | Oct 5 | $309 |
| Cappelli | Federal District Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $306 |
| Professor Robson | Federal District Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 5 | $295 |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rondônia | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 26 | $276 |
| Paula Belmonte | Federal District Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | down 0.3 points this week | Oct 5 | $269 |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás | 0.4¢ | – | Oct 26 | $234 |
| Professora Samara Mineiro | Federal District Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Oct 5 | $229 |
| Kiko Caputo | Federal District Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | down 0.2 points this week | Oct 5 | $225 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco | 1.6¢ | – | Oct 26 | $212 |
| Lula | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraná | 1.9¢ | – | Oct 26 | $181 |
| Celina 20-25% | Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 35.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $143 |
| Celina 10-15% | Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 28.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $133 |
| Celina 25%+ | Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 29.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $120 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Ceará | 2.5¢ | – | Oct 26 | $95 |
| Celina <10% | Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 8.8¢ | – | Oct 26 | $68 |
| Grass wins | Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 2.9¢ | – | Oct 26 | $64 |
| Celina 15-20% | Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | 9.0¢ | – | Oct 26 | $60 |