Market · 2 of 6 outcomes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 6 outcomes add up to 122.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 182 | 27.0¢ | $56 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 30 | 77.0¢ | $21 | — |
| sunnynotbunny0x4d02…2ad3 | No | 29 | 65.5¢ | $20 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 21 | 73.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $14 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 15 | 76.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.