Market · 1 of 6 outcomes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 6 outcomes add up to 122.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 233 | 27.4¢ | $92 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 55 | 68.0¢ | $34 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 22 | 58.5¢ | $13 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 20 | 76.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 20 | 69.0¢ | $12 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 20 | 82.0¢ | $12 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.