Market · 6 of 6 outcomes
Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | No | 42 | 94.2¢ | $41 | — |
| 657657570x2974…9c23 | No | 7 | 87.5¢ | $7 | Proven+$6.14 per $100 · 374 bets |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | No | 4 | 87.5¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 71 | 13.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 42 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 13 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 6 outcomes add up to 122.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.