Market · 3 of 6 outcomes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 6 outcomes add up to 122.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 50 | 33.0¢ | $18 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 46 | 21.6¢ | $17 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| CZ6670x5210…6b07 | No | 20 | 76.0¢ | $13 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xc7d5…6b08 | Yes | 20 | 33.0¢ | $7 | — |
| rrm17pl0x762f…fb2f | No | 10 | 81.4¢ | $6 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.