Market · 4 of 10 outcomes
Will Arruda win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 3,551 | 99.4¢ | $3.55K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| DarkFish0x87cb…6232 | No | 519 | 90.7¢ | $519 | — |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| ox9614b59508B11504bDA8Ac4FDFBEFc2f92d8D2170x9614…d217 | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 3,568 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 334 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.