Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 15:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 3,654 | 96.3¢ | $3.61K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| 0xce83…5b97 | Yes | 857 | 91.0¢ | $846 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 685 |
| 77.8¢ |
| $676 |
| — |
| z13cc0x8bfc…659a | Yes | 504 | 99.2¢ | $497 | — |
| Natsan0x91e5…0947 | Yes | 256 | 80.3¢ | $253 | — |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 176 | 97.8¢ | $174 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.