Market · 4 of 6 outcomes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by less than 10%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 6 outcomes add up to 122.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 131 | 10.5¢ | $22 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 20 | 88.5¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.44 per $100 · 58,479+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $17 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 15 | 90.9¢ | $12 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 14 | 7.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.