Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by less than 10%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 20 | 88.5¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $18 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 131 | 10.5¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 7 | 90.9¢ | $6 | — |
| HenriIV0x8d85…726f | Yes | 20 | 23.1¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 19 | 2.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 14 | 7.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 12 | 14.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.28 per $100 · 35,166+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| wedontdothesame0xc2b3…cd72 | Yes | 0 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.