Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $18 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 46 | 21.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| 0xeb42…73dd | Yes | 20 | 24.7¢ | $2 | — |
| haagzera10xeaf8…ce6d | Yes | 19 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 18 | 6.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| preciseploys0x3492…7f3b | Yes | 9 | 40.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 6 outcomes add up to 122.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.