Market · 3 of 6 outcomes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 90 | 17.5¢ | $21 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,982+ bets · updating |
| 0xeb42…73dd | Yes | 86 | 17.6¢ | $20 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| haagzera10xeaf8…ce6d | Yes | 19 | 17.0¢ | $4 | — |
| zeitfi-vault-v20x6ae0…b747 | No | 5 | 80.6¢ | $4 | — |
| preciseploys0x3492…7f3b | Yes | 9 | 40.0¢ | $2 | — |
| rrm17pl0x762f…fb2f | Yes | 7 | 20.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 161 bets |
| orbitalcoins20x285b…f3d3 | Yes | 5 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 0 | 72.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 1 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.