Market · 2 of 6 outcomes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 241 | 27.7¢ | $71 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 77 | 68.0¢ | $54 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 20 | 76.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| xSundancer0xfdc3…f14e | No | 12 | 80.6¢ | $9 | — |
| haagzera10xeaf8…ce6d | Yes | 21 | 20.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xe3a0…5793 | No | 5 | 80.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 5 | 22.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5 | 14.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.88 per $100 · 52,957+ bets · updating |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 1 | 69.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d5…6b08 | Yes | 2 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 65.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.