Market · 2 of 6 outcomes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 245 | 27.7¢ | $69 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 71.0¢ | $36 | — |
| sunnynotbunny0x4d02…2ad3 | No | 29 | 65.5¢ | $21 | — |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $14 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 16 | 77.0¢ | $12 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 15 | 76.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| xSundancer0xfdc3…f14e | No | 9 | 65.9¢ | $6 | — |
| HenriIV0x8d85…726f | Yes | 20 | 29.0¢ | $6 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x5250…b975 | No | 6 | 72.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 12 | 14.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.28 per $100 · 35,166+ bets · updating |
| rrm17pl0x762f…fb2f | Yes | 10 | 14.1¢ | $3 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 2 | 73.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xea24…2cc8 | No | 2 | 70.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.