Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 2 outcomes add up to 97.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 1,836 | 94.3¢ | $1.79K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| estuprador0x22c2…9d56 | Yes | 440 | 98.9¢ | $428 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| BKno950x0d93…8cbe |
| Yes |
| 160 |
| 97.0¢ |
| $156 |
| — |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 89 | 93.3¢ | $86 | New96 settled bets |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | Yes | 32 | 75.9¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xec21…cbbf | Yes | 20 | 70.0¢ | $19 | — |
Brazil Runoff · Amazonas Vote Winner · 3 events · $21.5K in play