Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 2 outcomes add up to 99.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 8,728 | 40.8¢ | $3.62K | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 981 | 64.8¢ | $574 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x0fca…90de | No | 626 | 84.8¢ | $366 | New96 settled bets |
| efflo-polka0x4dd5…41dc | Yes | 780 | 24.7¢ | $324 | — |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | No | 535 | 69.1¢ | $313 | — |
| ganzarolli0xa236…4cbb | Yes | 635 | 32.4¢ | $264 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 43 shares each side · Show
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Brazil Runoff · Amazonas Vote Winner · 3 events · $21.5K in play