Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 2 outcomes add up to 94.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y51500x36e8…2070 | Yes | 9,370 | 72.5¢ | $3.98K | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 1,496 | 36.0¢ | $636 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 |
| No |
| 699 |
| 29.7¢ |
| $402 |
| — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 500 | 46.1¢ | $288 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 444 | 63.0¢ | $189 | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 240 | 18.0¢ | $138 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 65 shares each side · Show
|
Brazil Runoff · Amazonas Vote Winner · 3 events · $21.5K in play