Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 440 | 98.8¢ | $424 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 404 | 97.0¢ | $389 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Marco27250x012b…4745 | Yes | 155 | 97.2¢ | $149 | — |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 58 | 93.0¢ | $56 | New96 settled bets |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | Yes | 13 | 97.1¢ | $13 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 11 | 97.6¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
Brazil Runoff · Amazonas Vote Winner · 3 events · $21.5K in play