Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
Brazil Runoff · Amazonas Vote Winner · 3 events · $21.5K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 440 | 98.8¢ | $430 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 404 | 97.0¢ | $395 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| Marco27250x012b…4745 | Yes | 155 | 97.2¢ | $152 | — |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 58 | 93.0¢ | $57 | New96 settled bets |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | Yes | 13 | 97.1¢ | $13 | Proven+$19.42 per $100 · 1,428 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 11 | 97.6¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No | 250 | 1.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 245 | 1.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 225 | 6.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| bountyhunter0010x54d6…ef35 | Yes | 5 | 98.9¢ | $5 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 20 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pushthatthing0x8e1f…991b | No | 9 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.