Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 20:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 1,836 | 94.3¢ | $1.79K | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| estuprador0x22c2…9d56 | Yes | 440 | 98.9¢ | $428 | — |
| BKno950x0d93…8cbe | Yes | 160 | 97.0¢ | $156 | Proven+$8.81 per $100 · 1,194 bets |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 89 | 93.3¢ | $86 | New96 settled bets |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | Yes | 32 | 75.9¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xec21…cbbf | Yes | 20 | 70.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 684 | 3.9¢ | $19 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 20,221 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 14 | 97.1¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| 0x870a…6c6e | Yes | 12 | 97.9¢ | $12 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No | 250 | 1.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 205 | 2.9¢ | $6 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| new-account-test2220xfe91…4cd3 | Yes | 5 | 96.3¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 154 | 11.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,173 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 61 | 6.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x7d33…c15f | No | 52 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.65 per $100 · 579 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 44 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 40 | 5.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | No | 10 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| E23Lowriajksb9182912-as-q0x5f9f…a179 | No | 7 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 5 | 4.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,570 bets |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | No | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 0 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Brazil Runoff · Amazonas Vote Winner · 3 events · $24.4K in play