Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 729 | 96.3¢ | $714 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | Yes | 140 | 91.3¢ | $137 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| afonsoo0030x0c3d…f757 | Yes | 96 | 66.3¢ | $94 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 80 | 96.0¢ | $79 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| BKno950x0d93…8cbe | Yes | 60 | 94.0¢ | $59 | — |
| iusnaturale0xbd06…a6f5 | Yes | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |