Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 729 | 96.3¢ | $682 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 303 | 83.2¢ | $284 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,357 bets |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | Yes | 140 | 91.3¢ | $131 | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 507 bets |
| afonsoo0030x0c3d…f757 | Yes | 96 | 66.3¢ | $90 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 80 | 96.0¢ | $75 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| BKno950x0d93…8cbe | Yes | 60 | 94.0¢ | $56 | — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 505 | 12.4¢ | $33 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 449 | 13.6¢ | $29 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| iusnaturale0xbd06…a6f5 | Yes | 10 | 99.0¢ | $9 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 127 | 4.0¢ | $8 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 115 | 4.4¢ | $7 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 81 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 6 | 83.6¢ | $5 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 5 | 97.7¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| 0x86aa…2682 | Yes | 3 | 98.1¢ | $3 | — |
| pv-bot0x9fde…9a5c | No | 20 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| closethething120xd666…0027 | No | 3 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| xukongjieli00xdaa1…2fdb | No | 1 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.