Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 896 | 98.4¢ | $882 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 238 | 94.1¢ | $234 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,357 bets |
| only-no0xd520…3040 | Yes | 87 | 93.0¢ | $85 | — |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | Yes | 86 | 96.2¢ | $85 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 62 | 93.6¢ | $61 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| Blue-Horseshoe0xc676…f35c | Yes | 21 | 91.0¢ | $21 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.