Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 896 | 98.4¢ | $882 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 238 | 94.1¢ | $234 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| only-no0xd520…3040 | Yes | 87 | 93.0¢ | $85 | — |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | Yes | 86 | 96.2¢ | $85 | Proven+$19.42 per $100 · 1,428 bets |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 62 | 93.6¢ | $61 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 12,743 bets |
| Blue-Horseshoe0xc676…f35c | Yes | 21 | 91.0¢ | $21 | — |
| BKno950x0d93…8cbe | Yes | 20 | 96.0¢ | $20 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 13 | 90.6¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Ekvelazquez0xd223…8c26 | Yes | 11 | 95.4¢ | $11 | — |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 9 | 89.4¢ | $9 | — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 501 | 5.5¢ | $8 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | Yes | 7 | 98.8¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 199 | 9.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 139 | 1.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| 0x86aa…2682 | Yes | 2 | 98.1¢ | $2 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 115 | 4.4¢ | $2 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 2 | 98.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 13,936 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| notfinishedreadingthebookyet0xee96…86b4 | No | 2 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | No | 1 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.