Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | No | 400 | 88.0¢ | $385 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 163 | 88.0¢ | $157 | Positive+$2.58 per $100 · 30,054+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| userxp0x08e5…5d30 |
| No |
| 61 |
| 91.0¢ |
| $59 |
| — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 60 | 89.0¢ | $58 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 87.0¢ | $58 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 191,746 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 58 | 90.0¢ | $56 | — |
These 2 outcomes add up to 97.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.