Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | No | 400 | 88.0¢ | $386 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 163 | 88.0¢ | $157 | Positive+$2.37 per $100 · 57,731+ bets · updating |
| userxp0x08e5…5d30 | No | 61 | 91.0¢ | $59 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 60 | 89.0¢ | $58 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 87.0¢ | $58 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 58 | 90.0¢ | $56 | — |
| 0xb010…efbd | Yes | 1,247 | 11.4¢ | $44 | — |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | No | 28 | 93.0¢ | $27 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 25 | 80.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 88.0¢ | $10 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 88.0¢ | $10 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 208 | 10.4¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 109 | 9.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 60 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 28 | 12.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Ortolanus0x47cf…4910 | Yes | 25 | 20.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.